INDORE BAROMETER Prediction Review and Accuracy Bollywood Movies 2016

Below is our review record and Box office verdict vis-a-vis for 2016 bollywood films. In the Our Review column, terms (EXCELLENT, GOOD, DECENT) mean favourable review while NEUTRAL means slightly negative.  In the Box Office Verdict, term SUCCESS means (Blockbuster, superhit, hit, average)

ACCURACY : 17/22  MEANS 77%

	Movie	OUR Review	Box Office Verdict
1	AIRLIFT	FAVOURABLE	SUCCESS
2	NEERJA	NEUTRAL	SUCCESS
3	KAPOOR & SONS	NEUTRAL	SUCCESS
4	FAN	POOR	FLOP
5	BAAGHI	FAVOURABLE	SUCCESS
6	AZHAR	NEUTRAL	FLOP
7	HOUSEFULL 3	POOR	AVERAGE
8	UDTA PUNJAB	POOR	BELOW AVERAGE
9	SULTAN	FAVOURABLE	SUCCESS
10	DISHOOM	POOR	BELOW AVERAGE
11	MOHENJODARO	NEUTRAL	LOSING
12	RUSTOM	POOR	SUCCESS
13	A FLYING JATT	POOR	FLOP

14           AKIRA                                     POOR                              FLOP

15           BAAR BAAR DEKHO            POOR                              FLOP

16           PINK                                         POSITIVE                      SUCCESS

17           MS DHONI                               NEUTRAL                     SUCCESS

18           MIRYZA                                   POOR                              FLOP
19           FORCE 2                                   POSITIVE                       LOSING
20           KAHAANI 2                              POOR                              FLOP
21           BEFIKRE                                   POOR                              FLOP
22           DANGAL                                  POSITIVE                       SUCCESS

INDORE BAROMETER REVIEW AND ACCURACY FOR 2015 BOLLYWOOD MOVIES

Below is our review record and Box office verdict vis-a-vis for bollywood films. In the Our Review column, terms (EXCELLENT, GOOD, DECENT) mean favourable review while NEUTRAL means slightly negative.  In the Box Office Verdict, term SUCCESS means (Blockbuster, superhit, hit, average)

ACCURACY : 23/25 MEANS 92% 

	Movie	OUR Review	Box Office Verdict
1	BABY	FAVOURABLE	SUCCESS
2	BADLAPUR	POOR	SUCCESS
3	NH10	FAVOURABLE	SUCCESS
4	DETECTIVE BYOMKESH BAKSHI	POOR	FLOP
5	GABBAR IS BACK	FAVOURABLE	SUCCESS
6	PIKU	FAVOURABLE	SUCCESS
7	BOMBAY VELVET	POOR	FLOP
8	TANU WEDS MANU RETURNS	POOR	SUCCESS
9	DIL DHADKANE DO	FAVOURABLE	SUCCESS
10	ABCD 2	NEUTRAL	SUCCESS
11	BAAHUBALI	FAVOURABLE	SUCCESS
12	BAJRANGI BHAIJAAN	NEUTRAL	SUCCESS
13	DRISHYAM	FAVOURABLE	SUCCESS
14	BROTHERS	FAVOURABLE	BELOW AVERAGE
15	PHANTOM	POOR	FLOP
16	WELCOME BACK	NEUTRAL	SUCCESS
17	KIS KISKO PYAAR KARU	NEUTRAL	SUCCESS
18	SINGH IS BLING	NEUTRAL	BELOW AVERAGE
19	TALVAR	FAVOURABLE	SUCCESS
20	PYAAR KA PUNCHNAMA 2	FAVOURABLE	SUCCESS
21	SHANDAAR	POOR	FLOP
22	PREM RATAN DHAN PAAYO	POOR	BELOW AVERAGE
23	TAMASHA	NEUTRAL	BELOW AVERAGE
24	BAJIRAO MASTANI	FAVOURABLE	SUCCESS
25	DILWALE	POOR	BELOW AVERAGE

Lifetime Collections and trending of Movies in 2016 with less than 10 crores day 1

Lifetime collections and trending of movies with less than 10 crores day 1 for 2016:

neerja - 5 cr - 76 cr ....... ..................(15 times day 1)

kapoor and sons - 7 cr - 73 cr...... ....(10 times day 1)

ki and ka - 7 cr- 51 cr.........................(7 times day 1)

Mohenjo Daro - 9 cr - 60 cr................(6.7 times day 1)

Udta Punjab - 10 cr- 60 cr..................(6 times day 1)

azhar - 6 cr - 33 cr...............................(5 times day 1)

A Flying Jatt - 7 cr- 38 cr......................(5 times DAY 1)

rocky handsome - 7 cr - 26 cr...............(3.5 times day 1)

Contrary to paid media campaign, Mohenjo Daro is safe for its producers

Ever since the first promo of Hrithik Roshan Starrer Mohenjo Daro came, the knives were out by paid media campaign dissecting the promo and its historical "inaccuracies" when the reality is nothing concrete is ever recorded by historians about the Indus valley civilisation.

The movie finally released on 12th august 2016 on a low note thanks to the largely negative perception created by paid camps. But to the dismay of the camp, the movie has not been doing too badly. Mohenjo Daro opened to 8.87 crores on its first day with a clash with the hugely hyped Rustom Starring Akshay Kumar. The movie was expected to crash in the weekend but contrary to the media perception, the film grew very well over the weekend and made over 40 crores in 4 days over the extended weekend. Then it was expected to crash completely in the weekdays. But the movie sustained at a mid level and actually rose to 45% from its wednesday collection and took complete advantage of the partial holiday on thursday taking its tally to around 52 crores nett in 7 days. The overseas business is even better with the week finishing over 24 crores. The trend over the week proves one thing - the general audience has lapped up the movie even if in miniscule circuits.

Contrary to what the paid media camp is reporting, Neither Hrithik Roshan nor UTV are fools to just invest 115 crores budget without any buffer. Hrithik is reported to have taken 50 crores as fees for this movie and hence the budget of the movie shot up to over 100 crores. But little do they know it is Hrithik who has got the makers a satellite rights of 45 crores as part of his multicrore deal. The music rights were sold at 15 crores which has brought the original budget od 115 crores down to 55 crores. Now here's the catch, the movie has done over 50 crores in domestic circuits and is expected to finish at a lifetime of 60-65 crores and overseas around 35-40 crores which easily recovers the 55 crores effective budget of the film. The film has not managed to make huge profits like Hrithik's previous big grossers like Krrish 3 or Agneepath but it is certainly not a "huge loss making" or "disaster" as some media has been reporting viciously. The movie has certainly underperformed but lets not forget the makers are not fools. They knew what they were getting into while making a period film like Mohenjo Daro which wont have much takers anyway. The fact that the movie has held its own against all odds says a lot. 

Mohenjodaro Review : Hrithik comes out clean against Phustom

The last time Hrithik Roshan and Ashutosh Gowariker got together to make Jodhaa Akbar, they created a "history" of sorts. It was probably the movie that got hrithik the most appreciation as an actor and gowariker a big grosser he never had (lagaan was a small hit). That was most definitely the reason they made Mohenjodaro now. But a lot has changed since 2008. When JA came in 2008 , historicals/period dramas were considered the "untouchable" genre. The best of stars shivered to sign a movie anything close to a period movie given how badly Mangal Pandey and Asoka had bombed with the khans. JA came and changed the game. And a lot of credit goes to others not attempting it .JA didnt have a standard to fall back on to comment. The last big period movie that worked was way back in the 60s in MEA which is a totally lousy film by todays standard. So JA easily survived the MEA comparison and came out clean. But a lot has happened post JA. There was Magadheera that came from rajamouli in 2009 which got a lot of attention. And then came the ultimate game changing juggernaut Baahubali which raised the standards of this genre in almost every aspect. Then there was Bajirao Mastani which had a good vision and execution. Ashutosh Gowariker isnt the flamboyant and the "wham bam thank you mam" kind of director like rajamouli. He is not a maverick like SLB . But he has a very sincere Amar Chitra katha style of story telling. His films are not supposed to grab your attention from the word Go but to warm the audiences to his style slowly and gradually.

With Mohenjodaro, ashutosh is back with his trademark way. But he is not a fool. He is an intelligent director who values the intelligence of the audience. There were some morons saying how hindi is being used in the times of MJD when it was not even invented? The answer lies in the first 15 mins of the movie. Lets not insult the intelligence of the director and the audience with such rubbish arguments. The movie begins like a person who is hesitant to read a Amar Chitra book but slowly starts warming up to the simplicity of its story telling. Ashutosh has a knack for human drama with a touch of social issues and he has his own way of integrating it with all his films. The editing and screenplay is surprisingly better than his last films though there is still work left to be done. The pace is drift but is strickened by cliche scenes especially in the pre-climax portions but the climax redeems it. There is vision and creativity both at work. Wish this was touched upon more than focussing on some useless fight sequences of arunoday singh and hrithik.

There was some negativity around hrithik post bang bang and his personal issues but his sincere performance in this withers that away. Pooja hegde looks hot but she is not a competent actor. kabir bedi and arunoday singh have good voices but their roles are stretched more than it deserved. The background music is good but not at the level of a baahubali. There is one arena fight of hrithik which is well choreographed and has good BGM.

Rating : 2.5-3/5

It is a movie made with some intent and vision. MJD was in the making for 2 years and was the first to announce its release date on 12 aug. Rustom , one of akshays four films an year, made in some 40 days on 50 crores released its date afterwards. Morally rustom should have backed out when it was not the first to release its date. but then clashes are inevitable. But the demeanor of the rustom camp ever since has been pedestrian from akshay kumar begging celebs to promote his film to one of his producers Girgit Johar mudslinging MJD to make its low day 1 look "big". Guess rustom camp (over confident after the promo reaction) realised the movie is a sitting duck once the reviews were out and the only way possible to paint a rosy picture was to compare it to MJD. Absolute third class tactics from akshay kumar and he has lost a major supporter with such cheap tactics.

More power to Hrithik for maintaining the grace and giving us a much better movie than what the paid rustom camp wants to make us believe. Only shoutout to you - work more and dont let some assi stars take undue advantage of it.

You Asked It

Q. Are films like Airlift, Neerja and Kapoor & Sons duds as they didnt get good trps and can we call Bodyguard a masterpiece based on trp?.
Ans. Its a stupid line of thought to begin with on so many levels. Firstly TV doesnt generate the kind of revenue it used to. Secondly, who watches tv these days beyond a handful of senior citizens? From the school going audience to office going, everyone is into youtube, whatsapp and facebook. Our generation dont swtich tv for movies. we go online. and movies like airlift , neerja and kapoor and sons will always be the favourite there. imdb, youtube,facebook, whatsapp views are evidences. The TRP ratings used to matter in stone age of cinema in 80s and 90s when TV was our only source of entertainment. There are some who are still living in stone age. they have apparently not outgrown from the 90s when families used to switch to tv for "watching movies", that was then. when we didnt have dvd and laptop and most importantly the internet. now we dont need tv and movie channels for us to wait for them to telecast our movies. we can watch our movies whenever we can by going online or through torrent.Anway these things are written for some dimwitted fans which doesnt mean anything in todays world.
N. Modi

Q. What will be the final lifetime of Sultan?
Ans. The film is likely to finish lifetime around 285 crore nett.It could well be on its way out of theatres with Kabali hitting the theatres this friday.

S. Swamy

Q. What is your expectations from Rustom and MohenjoDaro?
Ans. Ideally the two should not have clashed for both films to optimise their potential. Mohenjodaro doesnt seem to look in the league of swades and lagaan. Rustom might have an upperhand in the long run as the movie is set in modern era compared to MJD and with neeraj pandey associated. At present MJD can do 80 cr while rustom can do 100cr+. Both are economically well placed to recover.
A. Shah

Q. Why did salman not get the best actor award for Bajrangi Bhaijaan when it was the most loved movie of the decade?
Ans. Awards are not given for C Grade films
M. Bhagwat

MohenJo Daro Economics and Budget: Hit or Flop?

MohenjoDaro Budget and Economics:



Cost : 100 cr PNP : 15 cr

Satellite +music: 60 cr

Recovery from Theatrical : 115-60 = 55 cr

Overseas : arppox 30 cr so Distributor share of approx 12 cr

Domestic : 60 cr nett so distributor share of approx 35 cr

35+12 = 47 cr.

Profit/LOss: - 8 cr.

Verdict : below average/losing

HIGHEST RATED IMDB FILMS OF BOLLYWOOD SUPERSTARS : WHO IS THE BEST?

according to imdb career wise, its AAMIR KHAN number 1 at 84% , followed by HRITHIK 65%, SHAHRUKH At 61%, akshay 40% and SALMAN at the last with 29%

aamir khan 10/60 films rated below 6/10 which means 16% crap films and 84% good films

http://www.imdb.com/filmosearch?role=nm0451148&explore=title_type&sort=user_rating%2Cdesc&mode=detail&page=2&title_type=movie&ref_=filmo_nxt

HRITHIK 13/40 films rated below 6/10 which means 32% crap films and 68% good films

http://www.imdb.com/filmosearch?role=nm0004335&explore=title_type&sort=user_rating,desc&mode=detail&page=1&title_type=movie&ref_=filmo_ref_typ

shahrukh khan 38/98 films rated beow 6/10 which means 39% crap films and 61% good films

http://www.imdb.com/filmosearch?role=nm0451148&explore=title_type&sort=user_rating%2Cdesc&mode=detail&page=2&title_type=movie&ref_=filmo_nxt

akshay kumar 77 films out of 127 films rated below 6/10. which means 60% crap films and 40% good films

http://www.imdb.com/filmosearch?role=nm0474774&explore=title_type&sort=user_rating%2Casc&mode=detail&page=2&title_type=movie&ref_=filmo_nxt

SALMAN KHAN 75 films below 6/10 out of 106 films which means 71% crap films in career and 29% good films.

http://www.imdb.com/filmosearch?role=nm0006795&explore=title_type&sort=user_rating%2Casc&mode=detail&page=1&title_type=movie&ref_=filmo_ref_typ

BOI : RELIABLE OR JUST ANOTHER ANONYMOUS BLOG ?

Ever since the late 2000s, there has been controversy over the Box office figures for Bollywood movies. There are so many blogs out there , mostly anonymous who claim to have their own "sources" . The most popular among them is a site called "BoxOfficeIndia.com (BOI). There are online fans who swear by their numbers and question the Official numbers which are printed in Media and newspapers. But does the website itself swear by its numbers and authenticity? A little investigation reveals a lot:

Here is what BOI has to say about its "accuracy"

YOU ACKNOWLEDGE THAT BOX OFFICE INDIA AND ITS AFFILIATES DO NOT CONTROL, REPRESENT OR ENDORSE THE ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS OR RELIABILITY OF ANY OF THE INFORMATION AVAILABLE ON THE WEB SITE AND OTHER USER AND MEMBER GENERATED PAGES AND THAT ANY OPINIONS, ADVICE, STATEMENTS, SERVICES, OFFERS OR OTHER INFORMATION OR CONTENT PRESENTED OR DISSEMINATED ON THE WEB SITE OR ON ANY OTHER USER OR MEMBER GENERATED PAGES ARE THOSE OF THEIR RESPECTIVE AUTHORS WHO ARE SOLELY LIABLE FOR THEIR CONTENT. BOX OFFICE INDIA AND ITS AFFILIATES RESERVE THE RIGHT, IN THEIR SOLE DISCRETION, TO EDIT, REFUSE TO POST OR REMOVE ANY MATERIAL SUBMITTED TO OR POSTED ON THE WEB SITE OR ON ANY OTHER USER OR MEMBER GENERATED PAGES.

http://boxofficeindia.com/content.php?pagekey=disclaimer

A blog which itself doesnt standby its numbers for any kind of accuracy cannot be depended upon as a trustworthy source.

Sure, the Indian Box Office is a chaos where numbers are not digitally tracked like Box Office Mojo and hence what every trade site gives are their own "estimates" from their "sources". But the most important part to investigate here is whether these "trade peopele" have any authenticity or even an Office? There are trade sites like BollywoodHungama.com which leads to their corporate adrress as follows:

http://www.bollywoodhungama.com/index/contact

Besides this website has many regional offices and names and addresses of the people who can actually be contacted and verified.

There is another popular trade site called koimoi.com. Their contact address is as follows:

http://www.koimoi.com/contact-us/

Again, this one leads to an actual Office address and contact persons

Now have a look at BOI contact details:

http://boxofficeindia.com/content.php?pagekey=contact_us

Nothing except three email ids which are completely anonymous. No address for office, no regional offices, no contact persons named.The wbsite is run from USA by apparently some anonymous PR people who dont wish to be named. Have a look

http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/boxofficeindia.com

Commentary is the lesser problem of BOI. their biggest problem are the numbers. everything revolves around them. they have imaginary budgets for stars they support and stars they are against. and then they give their own numbers which are very different for different stars. and then they give their verdict and commentary based on them. the root cause are their dodgy numbers. accusing their commentary is like deliberately ignoring their dodgy numbers

the reason why boi is not popular in real world and will never be popular is bcos of their anonymity . no one has the slightest clue who operates it and from where. they have no names of ppl who head it, their contacts and addresses. there is no face that stands for BOI. and then their dodgy numbers which are very low for non khans and high for khans and their agendiac commentaries. compared to this, sites like koimoi or bwhungama provide a fair assessment to almost all films without being too harsh or too lenient. and they have a proper office address, journalist with names and faces and business correspondents. all this adds crediblity to a trade site

My All Time Favourite Martial Arts Fight Moves

The Corkscrew Kick: Not just a flashy or visually pleasing kick, its impact is lethal. It is meant to hit the opponent on the neck. The fighter is supposed to take a flight like a butterfly kick or a 720 and then impact the opponent right on the neck. no need to explain further what would it result in Wing Chun Punching: The most lethal form of punching in a close combat situation. The idea is not to give the opponent a chance to recover with continuous attacking and defending simultaneously Parkour/Free Running : No fight especially a one-vs-many is ever complete without parkour. Its a must. A single person cant beat multiple opponents by staying in the middle even if he has the best ground technique in the world. The idea should be to scatter the gang by employing parkour so that only 2-3 people can catch you at a time and they can be dealt with by some basic fighting techniques The Ninjutsu multiple attacker takedown: Ninjutsu is arguably the most effective martial arts ever. the most practical form of fighting alongwith krav maga especially while fighting 2 or more attackers.Vidyut Jamwal oftens uses this technique in his movies Dim Mak/ Pressure Point : One of the most (once considered a myth) scientific moves in martial arts by attacking pressure points in the body. Maximum result with minimum effort. This technique was shown in Kamal Hasans Hindustani/Indian